{"id":2856,"date":"2024-01-13T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-01-13T08:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/us-chinaforum.com\/archives\/2856"},"modified":"2024-01-13T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2024-01-13T08:00:00","slug":"544-1-13-%e5%bc%b5%e4%b8%80%e9%a3%9b-%e5%9c%8b%e5%ae%b6%e4%be%8b%e5%a4%96%e7%89%b9%e5%84%aa%e4%b8%bb%e7%be%a9%e8%88%87%e6%96%b0%e4%b8%96%e7%95%8c%e7%a7%a9%e5%ba%8f","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/us-chinaforum.com\/2024\/2856\/","title":{"rendered":"#544 1\/13\u00a0\u00a0\u200b\u5f35\u4e00\u98db\u00a0\u00a0\u570b\u5bb6\u4f8b\u5916\u7279\u512a\u4e3b\u7fa9\u8207\u65b0\u4e16\u754c\u79e9\u5e8f"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"paragraph\">\u200b<br \/>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;\u968f\u77402023\u5e74\u63a5\u8fd1\u5c3e\u58f0\uff0c\u8bc4\u8bba\u5bb6\u4eec\u7eb7\u7eb7\u5bf9\u8fc7\u53bb\u8fdb\u884c\u56de\u987e\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u5404\u4e2a\u65b9\u9762\uff08\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3001\u793e\u4f1a\u95ee\u9898\u3001\u751f\u6d3b\u65b9\u5f0f\u7b49\uff09\u5c55\u671b\u672a\u6765\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0d\u53ef\u907f\u514d\u5730\uff0c\u56fd\u5bb6\u653f\u6cbb\u548c\u56fd\u9645\u79e9\u5e8f\u8fd8\u662f\u7279\u4e3a\u7a81\u51fa\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u9274\u4e8e\u5373\u5c06\u5230\u6765\u76842024\u5e74\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u9009\u4e3e\u3002\u54c8\u4f5b\u5927\u5b66\u7684\u7ea6\u745f\u592b\u00b7S\u00b7\u5948\u6559\u6388\u6700\u8fd1\u5728\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u6218\u7565\u653f\u7b56\u7814\u7a76\u6240\uff08ASPI\uff0c\u56e0\u5176\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u6301\u6709\u504f\u89c1\u800c\u4f7f\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u9677\u5165\u5916\u4ea4\u56f0\u5883\u800c\u4f7f\u4eba\u6ce8\u610f\uff09\u53d1\u8868\u4e86\u4e00\u7bc7\u5f15\u4eba\u601d\u8003\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u9898\u4e3a\u300a2024\u5e74\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f8b\u5916\u7279\u4f18\u4e3b\u4e49\u300b\uff08American Exceptionalism in 2024)\u3002\u5948\u6559\u6388\u9009\u62e9\u5728\u6587\u7ae0\u6807\u9898\u4e2d\u5305\u542b2024\u5e74\uff0c\u5e76\u5728ASPI\u53d1\u8868\uff0c\u6216\u8bb8\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u57282023\u5e7412\u670817\u65e5\uff08\u65f6\u95f4\u6233\uff09\uff0c\u901a\u77e5\u56fd\u9645\u89c2\u4f17\u4ed6\u7684\u65b0\u4e66\u300a\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e16\u7eaa\u7684\u4e00\u751f\u300b\u5c06\u4e8e2024\u5e741\u6708\u7531Polity Press\u51fa\u7248\u3002\u6211\u559c\u6b22\u8bfb\u5948\u6559\u6388\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4ed6\u53ea\u5728\u6700\u540e\u63d0\u5230\u4e862024\u5e74\u9009\u4e3e\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u8fdb\u884c\u6df1\u5165\u7684\u8ba8\u8bba\u3002\u4f5c\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5948\u6559\u6388\u5728\u62dc\u767b\u9635\u8425\u8bd5\u56fe\u4fdd\u6301\u73b0\u6709\u79e9\u5e8f\u548c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u8ffd\u968f\u8005\u8bd5\u56fe\u7834\u574f\u5b83\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\u662f\u6b63\u786e\u7684\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0e\u56fd\u5bb6\u4f8b\u5916\u7279\u4f18\u4e3b\u4e49\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u6709\u5f85\u6f84\u6e05\u3002\u5728\u672c\u6587\u4e2d\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u5e0c\u671b\u8ba8\u8bba\u8fd9\u79cd\u8054\u7cfb\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;<\/span>\u8981\u8ba8\u8bba\u4eca\u5929\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u79e9\u5e8f\uff0c\u4e86\u89e3\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f8b\u5916\u7279\u4f18\u4e3b\u4e49\u662f\u5fc5\u8981\u7684\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0d\u8db3\u591f\uff0c\u9664\u975e\u5ef6\u4f38\u5230\u5bf9&#8217;\u56fd\u5bb6\u4f8b\u5916\u7279\u4f18\u4e3b\u4e49&#8217;\u7684\u7406\u89e3(National Exceptionalism)\u3002\u6b63\u5982\u5948\u6559\u6388\u5f15\u7528\u6cd5\u56fd\u77e5\u8bc6\u5206\u5b50\u65af\u5766\u5229\u00b7\u970d\u592b\u66fc\u6240\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u6bcf\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u90fd\u8ba4\u4e3a\u81ea\u5df1\u662f\u72ec\u4e00\u65e0\u4e8c\u7684\uff0c\u6cd5\u56fd\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4ee5\u4e3a\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\u89c2\u662f\u666e\u4e16\u7684\u3002\u201d\uff08\u4f8b\u5916\uff01\u7279\u4f18\uff01\uff09\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4e16\u4e0a\u5b58\u5728&#8217;\u2018\u56fd\u5bb6\u2019\u4f8b\u5916\u7279\u4f18\u4e3b\u4e49\uff08\u4e0d\u53ea\u7f8e\u56fd\u6216\u6cd5\u56fd\uff09\uff0c\u5b83\u5c06\u5728\u5f71\u54cd\u56fd\u9645\u79e9\u5e8f\u65b9\u9762\u53d1\u6325\u4f5c\u7528\u3002\u5e7f\u4e49\u4e0a\u8bf4\uff0c\u56fd\u5bb6\u4f8b\u5916\u7279\u4f18\u4e3b\u4e49\uff0c\u4ee5\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f8b\u5916\u7279\u4f18\u4e3b\u4e49\u4e3a\u4f8b\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u6d17\u8111\uff08\u5a92\u4f53\u3001\u597d\u83b1\u575e\u3001\u6559\u79d1\u4e66\u7b49\uff09\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u4fe1\u4ef0\u6df1\u5316\uff08\u5b97\u6559-\u4e0a\u5e1d\u9009\u6c11\uff0c\u5404\u79cd\u7406\u8bba\u5982\u79cd\u65cf\u4e3b\u4e49\u548c\u6b96\u6c11\u4e3b\u4e49\u7b49\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u901a\u8fc7\u56fd\u5bb6\u529b\u91cf\u5982\u7ecf\u6d4e\u529b\u91cf\u3001\u519b\u4e8b\u529b\u91cf\u548c\u6280\u672f\u529b\u91cf\u5728\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e2d\u4f1a\u4ea7\u751f\u6df1\u8fdc\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f8b\u5916\u7279\u4f18\u4e3b\u4e49\u4e0e\u6cd5\u56fd\u4f8b\u5916\u7279\u4f18\u4e3b\u4e49\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u76f8\u4f3c\u6027\u548c\u5dee\u5f02\u53ef\u4ee5\u8ffd\u6eaf\u5230\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u3001\u5b97\u6559\u3001\u79cd\u65cf\u4e3b\u4e49\u548c\u6587\u5316\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u8fd9\u4e9b\u90fd\u53d1\u6325\u4e86\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u4f46\u56fd\u5bb6\u529b\u91cf\u5728\u4e24\u6b21\u4e16\u754c\u5927\u6218\u4e4b\u540e\u4ea7\u751f\u4e86\u660e\u663e\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\uff08\u548c\u540e\u679c\uff09\u3002\u82f1\u56fd\u3001\u5fb7\u56fd\u548c\u65e5\u672c\u90fd\u6709\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u4f8b\u5916\u7279\u4f18\u4e3b\u4e49\uff0c\u53d7\u5230\u4e0a\u8ff0\u56e0\u7d20\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u65f6\u671f\u6bb5\uff0c\u8b6c\u5982\u6d77\u519b\u529b\u91cf\uff08\u5bf9\u82f1\u56fd\uff09\u3001\u5de5\u4e1a\u7eaa\u5f8b\uff08\u5bf9\u5fb7\u56fd\uff09\u548c\u6a21\u4eff\u80fd\u529b\uff08\u5bf9\u65e5\u672c\uff0c\u6a21\u4eff\u5353\u8d8a\uff09\u90fd\u5f3a\u5316\u4e86\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u4f8b\u5916\u7279\u4f18\u4e3b\u4e49\u3002\u8fd9\u5728\u4eca\u65e5\u4ee4\u65e5\u672c\u5728\u5176\u56fd\u5bb6\u4f8b\u5916\u7279\u4f18\u4e3b\u4e49\u4e2d\u4ea7\u751f\u4e86\u590d\u6742\uff08\u548c\u53d7\u6298\u78e8\u7684\uff09\u611f\u89c9\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span>&nbsp; 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&nbsp; &nbsp;<\/span>\u5948\u6559\u6388\u8bc4\u8bba\u8bf4\uff0c\u5728\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\uff08\u7f8e\u56fd\uff09\uff0c\u5b64\u7acb\u4e3b\u4e49\uff08\u53ca\u95e8\u7f57\u4e3b\u4e49\uff09\u5728\u2018\u5168\u7403\u529b\u91cf\u2019\uff08Global Power\uff09\u4e4b\u524d\u5c31\u5b58\u5728\u3002\u76f4\u52301917\u5e74\uff0c\u4f0d\u5fb7\u7f57\u00b7\u5a01\u5c14\u900a\u603b\u7edf\u6d3e\u9063\u4e86\u4e24\u767e\u4e07\u519b\u961f\u524d\u5f80\u6b27\u6d32\uff0c\u624d\u4f7f\u7f8e\u56fd\u6210\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u5927\u56fd\u3002\u90a3\u65f6\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u548c\u519b\u4e8b\u975e\u5e38\u5fae\u5f31\uff0c\u522b\u65e0\u9009\u62e9\uff0c\u53ea\u80fd\u63a5\u53d7\u7f8e\u56fd\u8c03\u505c\u65e5\u4fc4\u6218\u4e89\uff0c\u8feb\u4f7f\u4e2d\u56fd\u653e\u5f03\u4e3b\u6743\uff0c\u4f7f\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u65e5\u672c\u505c\u706b\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u884c\u4e3a\u4e2d\u6ca1\u6709\u6b63\u4e49\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u5168\u7403\u529b\u91cf\u7684\u535a\u5f08\u3002\u5982\u4eca\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u51ed\u501f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b9e\u529b\u548c\u519b\u4e8b\u5b9e\u529b\u5d1b\u8d77\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u662f\u5426\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5949\u884c\u5176\u5168\u7403\u529b\u91cf\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u8fdb\u884c\u771f\u6b63\u8bda\u5b9e\u7684\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e3b\u4e49\u529b\u91cf\u5206\u6790\u4ee5\u63a5\u53d7\u73b0\u5b9e\u5462\uff1f\u786e\u5b9e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u7b2c\u4e00\u5927\u56fd\uff0c\u4f46\u5176\u201c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f18\u5148\u201d\uff08America First\uff09\u7684\u53e3\u53f7\uff0c\u5c31\u50cf\u5176\u201c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f8b\u5916\u7279\u4f18\u4e3b\u4e49\u201d\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u88ab\u989c\u8272\uff08\u79cd\u65cf\u4e3b\u4e49\uff1a\u9ed1\u4eba\u6743\u5229vs\u767d\u4eba\u6743\u5229vs\u5176\u4ed6\uff09\uff0c\u6975\u7aef\u81ea\u7531\u4e3b\u4e49\u4e0e\u6975\u7aef\u4fdd\u5b88\u4e3b\u4e49\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5b97\u6559\u7684\u5206\u88c2\u529b\u6240\u6c61\u67d3\u3002\u7ef4\u6301\u5168\u7403\u529b\u91cf\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u4f1a\u90a3\u6837\u8f7b\u677e\uff0c\u5c31\u50cf\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af-\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89\u548c\u4ee5\u8272\u5217-\u54c8\u9a6c\u65af\u51b2\u7a81\u6240\u663e\u793a\u7684\u3002\u4ece\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u770b\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6b63\u5728\u63a8\u52a8\u548c\u5e73\u8c08\u5224\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5408\u4f5c\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0d\u4ec5\u80fd\u591f\u5904\u7406\u597d\u4e0e\u5176\u4e2d\u4e9a\u9646\u5730\u90bb\u56fd\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u6210\u529f\u5730\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u6ce2\u548c\u4f0a\u6717\u5efa\u7acb\u4e86\u5916\u4ea4\u5173\u7cfb\u3002<br \/>\u200b<br \/><span>&nbsp; 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