{"id":3054,"date":"2022-07-23T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2022-07-23T07:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/us-chinaforum.com\/archives\/3054"},"modified":"2022-07-23T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2022-07-23T07:00:00","slug":"467-7-23-%e6%b0%b4%e7%a7%89%e5%92%8c-%e6%99%ae%e4%ba%ac%e8%83%bd%e6%92%90%e5%a4%9a%e4%b9%85%ef%bc%9f","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/us-chinaforum.com\/2022\/3054\/","title":{"rendered":"#467 7\/23\u00a0\u00a0\u200b \u6c34\u79c9\u548c\u00a0\u00a0\u666e\u4eac\u80fd\u6490\u591a\u4e45\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"paragraph\">&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;\u6700\u65b0\u4e00\u671f\u7684\u300a\u5916\u4ea4\u4e8b\u52d9\u300b\u4e2d\u6709\u4e00\u7bc7\u82f1\u570b\u5b78\u8005\uff0cVladislav Zubok, \u5beb\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u984c\u76ee\u662f\u201c\u666e\u4eac\u80fd\u6490\u591a\u4e45\uff1f\u201d\uff08Can Putin Survive?\uff09\u4ed6\u66fe\u7d93\u5beb\u4e86\u4e00\u672c\u6558\u8ff0\u8607\u806f\u89e3\u9ad4\u7684\u66f8\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u5c0d\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u6df1\u6709\u77ad\u89e3\u3002\u4ed6\u9996\u5148\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u8a31\u591a\u897f\u65b9\u7cbe\u82f1\u628a\u666e\u4eac\u5728\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u7684\u884c\u52d5\u6bd4\u4f5c\u524d\u8607\u806f\u5728\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u7684\u884c\u52d5\uff0c\u8a8d\u7232\u666e\u4eac\u4e5f\u6703\u906d\u9047\u5230\u50cf\u6208\u5df4\u55ac\u592b\u5728\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u7684\u547d\u904b\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u6ce8\u5b9a\u5931\u6557\u3002\u4ed6\u8aac\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u8a8d\u77e5\u932f\u8aa4\u3002\u4ed6\u6307\u51fa\uff0c1991\u5e74\u8607\u806f\u89e3\u9ad4\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u56e0\u7232\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u5931\u5229\u548c\u77f3\u6cb9\u50f9\u683c\u4e0b\u6ed1\u7b49\u4e0d\u5229\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u56e0\u7232\u6208\u5df4\u55ac\u592b\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u653f\u7b56\u5931\u6557\uff0c\u6feb\u5370\u76e7\u5e03\uff0c\u9020\u6210\u56b4\u91cd\u901a\u8139\uff0c\u548c\u4e00\u4e9b\u653f\u6cbb\u6c7a\u7b56\u7684\u932f\u8aa4\u6240\u5c0e\u81f4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp; 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&nbsp; &nbsp;8\u6708\u5373\u5c07\u5230\u4f86\uff0c\u9019\u5c07\u662f\u4fc4\u70cf\u6230\u722d\u7684\u6c7a\u5b9a\u6027\u6642\u523b\u3002\u5982\u679c\u70cf\u8ecd\u53cd\u653b\u5931\u6557\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebd\u5c0d\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u90a3\u5c31\u662f\u5927\u4e8b\u5e95\u5b9a\u4e86\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\uff0c\u9019\u88cf\u5c31\u51fa\u73fe\u4e86\u5e7e\u500b\u95dc\u9375\u554f\u984c\uff1a\u4e00\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u548c\u5317\u7d04\u80af\u4e0d\u80af\u63d0\u4f9b\u9019\u9ebd\u591a\u5148\u9032\u6b66\u5668\uff1f\u4e8c\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u6709\u4e86\u9019\u4e9b\u6b66\u5668\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u80fd\u5920\u7372\u5f97\u53ca\u6642\u7684\u8a13\u7df4\uff0c\u70cf\u8ecd\u80fd\u6230\u52dd\u4fc4\u8ecd\u55ce\uff1f\u4e09\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u9019\u4e9b\u6b66\u5668\u771f\u7684\u5c0d\u4fc4\u8ecd\u9020\u6210\u91cd\u5927\u640d\u5931\uff0c\u4fc4\u8ecd\u662f\u5426\u6703\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u52a0\u5287\u5c0d\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u7684\u5168\u9762\u6253\u64ca\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u52d5\u7528\u6230\u8853\u6027\u6838\u6b66\u5668\uff1f\u56db\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4fc4\u8ecd\u5fb9\u5e95\u64ca\u6f70\u70cf\u8ecd\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u5360\u64da\u57fa\u8f14\uff0c\u8d95\u8d70\u6fa4\u9023\u65af\u57fa\uff0c\u6276\u690d\u4e00\u500b\u89aa\u4fc4\u653f\u6b0a\uff0c\u5317\u7d04\u600e\u9ebd\u8fa6\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp; 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&nbsp; &nbsp;\u518d\u8aac\uff0c\u96d6\u7136\u7406\u8ad6\u4e0a\u9019\u4e9b\u6b66\u5668\u4e0d\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u548c\u5317\u7d04\u514d\u8cbb\u63d0\u4f9b\u7d66\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u7684\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5148\u5f8c\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\u7e3d\u503c\u9ad8\u905480\u5104\u7684\u6b66\u5668\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u5c31\u50cf\u4e8c\u6230\u671f\u9593\u5411\u76df\u570b\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\u6b66\u5668\u4e00\u6a23\uff0c\u662f\u9700\u8981\u65e5\u5f8c\u9084\u9322\u7684\u3002\u6b50\u6d32\u5404\u570b\u6350\u52a9\u7684\u6b66\u5668\u6709\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u4e5f\u662f\u9700\u8981\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u4ed8\u9322\u7684\u3002\u53ef\u662f\uff0c\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u5df2\u7d93\u4e00\u584c\u7cca\u5857\uff0c\u73fe\u5728\u6b63\u5411\u6b50\u76df\u7d22\u53d6\u91cd\u5efa\u7d93\u8cbb\uff0c\u4f30\u8a08\u9700\u89817500\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u800c\u6230\u722d\u9084\u5728\u6253\uff0c\u7834\u58de\u9084\u5728\u7e7c\u7e8c\u3002\u5b83\u90a3\u88cf\u6709\u9322\u9084\uff1f\u6240\u4ee5\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u63f4\u52a9\u90fd\u5c07\u662f\u8089\u5305\u5b50\u6253\u72d7\uff0c\u6709\u53bb\u7121\u56de\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;\u7576\u7136\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6fa4\u9023\u65af\u57fa\u88ab\u6383\u5730\u51fa\u9580\uff0c\u9003\u5230\u4ed6\u5728\u4f5b\u7f85\u91cc\u9054\u7684\u8c6a\u5b85\u7576\u5bd3\u516c\uff0c\u65b0\u7684\u653f\u6b0a\u80af\u5b9a\u4e0d\u6703\u8a8d\u8cec\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u6b50\u76df\u8af8\u570b\u9084\u627f\u64d4\u4e86\u7d04550\u842c\u4ee5\u4e0a\u96e3\u6c11\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u8cbb\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6b50\u76df\u5404\u570b\u958b\u59cb\u7336\u7591\uff0c\u4e0d\u518d\u50cf\u7576\u521d\u90a3\u9ebd\u6177\u6168\uff0c\u7fa4\u8846\u958b\u59cb\u793a\u5a01\u6e38\u884c\uff0c\u8981\u7f77\u514d\u9019\u6279\u8ddf\u8457\u7f8e\u570b\u8d70\u7684\u653f\u5ba2\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u9078\u51fa\u62d2\u7d55\u518d\u7576\u51a4\u5927\u982d\u7684\u5b98\u54e1\uff0c\u61c9\u7576\u4e5f\u662f\u5927\u6982\u7387\u7684\u4e8b\u3002\u9019\u662f\u8aaa\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6230\u722d\u6253\u5230\u51ac\u5929\uff0c\u6b50\u6d32\u7684\u5929\u7136\u6c23\u4f9b\u61c9\u5947\u7f3a\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u8981\u770b\u5317\u7d04\u600e\u9ebd\u8fa6\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; \u7576\u7136\uff0c\u62dc\u767b\u4e5f\u662f\u6ce5\u83e9\u85a9\u904e\u6c5f\uff0c\u81ea\u8eab\u96e3\u4fdd\uff0c\u6700\u8fd1\u6c11\u8abf\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u7684\u652f\u6301\u7387\u5df2\u7d93\u6389\u523029%\u300211\u6708\u7684\u671f\u4e2d\u9078\u8209\uff0c\u53c3\u8846\u5169\u9662\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u8b8a\u6210\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u7684\u5929\u4e0b\uff0c\u4ed6\u5c07\u6210\u7232\u5761\u8173\u9d28\u7e3d\u7d71\uff0c\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u63d0\u6848\u90fd\u6703\u906d\u5230\u5426\u6c7a\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u652f\u6301\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u7684\u63d0\u6848\u3002\u4ed6\u96d6\u7136\u8aaa\uff0c\u8981\u6253\u591a\u4e45\u5c31\u6253\u591a\u4e45\uff0c\u53ef\u60dc\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u4ed6\u80fd\u4f5c\u9019\u7a2e\u6c7a\u5b9a\u7684\u6642\u9593\u5df2\u7d93\u4e0d\u591a\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; \u6240\u4ee5\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u548c\u5317\u7d04\u61c9\u7576\u554f\u7684\u554f\u984c\u4e0d\u662f\uff1a\u666e\u4eac\u80fd\u6490\u591a\u4e45\uff1f\u800c\u662f\uff0c\u5317\u7d04\u81ea\u5df1\u80fd\u6490\u591a\u4e45\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>\u200b<\/p><\/div>\n<div class=\"pld-like-dislike-wrap pld-template-1\">\r\n    <div class=\"pld-like-wrap  pld-common-wrap\">\r\n    <a href=\"javascript:void(0)\" class=\"pld-like-trigger pld-like-dislike-trigger  \" title=\"\" data-post-id=\"3054\" data-trigger-type=\"like\" data-restriction=\"ip\" data-already-liked=\"0\">\r\n                        <i class=\"fas fa-thumbs-up\"><\/i>\r\n                <\/a>\r\n    <span class=\"pld-like-count-wrap pld-count-wrap\">    <\/span>\r\n<\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;\u6700\u65b0\u4e00\u671f\u7684\u300a\u5916\u4ea4\u4e8b\u52d9\u300b\u4e2d\u6709\u4e00\u7bc7\u82f1\u570b\u5b78\u8005\uff0cVladislav Zubok, \u5beb\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u984c\u76ee\u662f\u201c\u666e\u4eac\u80fd\u6490\u591a\u4e45\uff1f\u201d\uff08Can Putin Survive?\uff09\u4ed6\u66fe\u7d93\u5beb\u4e86\u4e00\u672c\u6558\u8ff0\u8607\u806f\u89e3\u9ad4\u7684\u66f8\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u5c0d\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u6df1\u6709\u77ad\u89e3\u3002\u4ed6\u9996\u5148\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u8a31\u591a\u897f\u65b9\u7cbe\u82f1\u628a\u666e\u4eac\u5728\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u7684\u884c\u52d5\u6bd4\u4f5c\u524d\u8607\u806f\u5728\u963f &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[131],"tags":[51],"class_list":["post-3054","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-131","tag-51"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/us-chinaforum.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3054","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/us-chinaforum.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/us-chinaforum.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/us-chinaforum.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/us-chinaforum.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3054"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/us-chinaforum.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3054\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/us-chinaforum.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3054"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/us-chinaforum.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3054"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/us-chinaforum.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3054"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}