{"id":4671,"date":"2016-08-20T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2016-08-20T07:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/us-chinaforum.com\/archives\/4671"},"modified":"2016-08-20T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2016-08-20T07:00:00","slug":"%e5%b7%9d%e6%99%ae%e6%95%88%e6%87%89","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/us-chinaforum.com\/2016\/4671\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5ddd\u666e\u6548\u61c9"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"paragraph\">\u200b\u67d0\u653f\u6cbb\u8a55\u8ad6\u5bb6\u7a31\u5ddd\u666e\u662fCrazy Fox\uff0c\u72d0\u4ed9\u3002\u6b64\u4eba\u8070\u660e\u7d55\u9802\uff0c\u7cbe\u901a\u535a\u6232\u7406\u8ad6(Game Theory). 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\/>\u514b\u6797\u98138\u5e74\u628a\u653f\u5e9c\u8207\u570b\u6703\u6253\u9020\u6210\u7d50\u69cb\u6027\u7684\u8caa\u8150\uff0c\u70ba\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u670d\u52d9\u300298\u5e74\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u9b06\u7d81\u6cd5\u6848\uff0c\u7a2e\u4e0b\u65e5\u5f8c\u4e8c\u623f\u5371\u6a5f\uff0c\u91d1\u878d\u6d77\u562f\u7684\u798d\u6839\u3002\u525d\u7537\u5993(Bernanke)\u7684\u91cf\u5316\u5bec\u9b06(QE)\u662f\u4eba\u985e\u6b77\u53f2\u4e0a\u7684\u5927\u767c\u660e\uff0c\u985b\u8986\u6240\u6709\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u7406\u8ad6\u3002\u6709\u53f2\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u5370\u9214\u7968\u90fd\u5f97\u6709\u6e96\u5099\u201c\u91d1\u201d\uff0c\u81ea\u5f9e72\u5e74\u4f60\u53ef\u5b6b\uff08Nixon\uff09\u5c07\u7f8e\u5143\u812b\u96e2\u91d1\u672c\u4f4d\u4ee5\u5f8c\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u8b8a\u6210\u570b\u969b\u201c\u6e96\u5099\u8ca8\u5e63\u201d(Reserve Currency) \u3002\u525d\u7537\u5993\u7814\u7a7629\u5e74\u7d93\u6fdf\u5927\u6050\u614c\u6b77\u53f2\u7d93\u9a57\uff0c\u767c\u73b0\u87ba\u7d72\u8150(Roosevelt)\u63a1\u7528\u958b\u96b1\u79c1(Keynes)\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u7684\u65b0\u653f\u57fa\u672c\u7121\u6548\uff1b\u4e00\u76f4\u5230\u4e8c\u6230\u7206\u767c\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u5927\u91cf\u767c\u884c\u516c\u50b5\uff0c\u9760\u8ecd\u706b\u5de5\u696d\u5e36\u52d5\u7d93\u6fdf\u5fa9\u7526\u3002\u4e00\u6230\u5f8c\u5e0c\u7279\u52d2\u4e5f\u662f\u7528\u985e\u4f3c\u65b9\u6cd5\u632f\u8208\u5fb7\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u3002\u53ea\u8981\u63d0\u9ad8\u8ca8\u5e63\u7684\u6d41\u901a\u91cf\uff0c\u7d93\u6fdf\u6d3b\u52d5\u81ea\u7136\u589e\u9577\u3002<br \/>\u525d\u7537\u5993\u638c\u6ac3\u7684\u806f\u5132\u6703\u5c31\u662f\u500b\u9ed1\u6d1e\uff0c\u5438\u661f\u5927\u6cd5 (QE) \u6295\u653e\u5927\u7b46\u901a\u8ca8\u9032\u5165\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u201c\u7121\u511f\u8cb8\u6b3e\u201d\u3002\u5e7e\u5e74\u4e0b\u4f86\uff0c\u9053\u74ca\u527518,000\u65b0\u9ad8\uff0c\u6a19\u666eP\/E26\uff1b\u9019\u5c31\u662f\u8cc7\u672c\u4e3b\u7fa9\u7684\u6ce1\u6cab\u7d93\u6fdf\u3002\u5be6\u9ad4\u7d93\u6fdf\u8207\u5de5\u8cc7\u6c34\u5e73\u5927\u5bb6\u6709\u76ee\u5171\u7779\u3002\u80a5\u4e86\u83ef\u723e\u8857\uff0c\u82e6\u4e86\u8001\u767e\u59d3\u3002<br \/>\u6851\u5fb7\u65af\u672c\u4f86\u4e5f\u662f\u7368\u7acb\u4eba\u58eb\uff0c\u7531\u65bc\u7368\u7acb\u53c3\u9078\u7121\u6cd5\u6253\u7834\u5169\u9ee8\u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u58df\u65b7\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u52a0\u5165\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u521d\u9078\u3002\u767b\u9ad8\u4e00\u547c\uff0c\u6380\u8d77\u5e74\u8f15\u4eba\u7684\u65cb\u98a8\uff0c\u4f38\u5f35\u793e\u6703\u6b63\u7fa9\u3002\u96d6\u6557\u7336\u69ae\u3002\u4ed6\u7684\u652f\u6301\u8005\uff0c40\u6b72\u4ee5\u4e0b\u7684\u6253\u6b7b\u90fd\u4e0d\u6703\u6295\u7968\u7d66\u7a00\u760c\u75e2(Hillary)\u3002\u9019\u7fa4\u5e74\u8f15\u4eba\u5360\u9078\u6c1120%\uff0c\u662f\u95dc\u9375\u5c11\u6578\u3002<br \/>\u6bc6\u7238\u5abd(Obama)\u6709\u6cd5\u4e0d\u57f7\uff0c\u5f15\u9032\u5343\u842c\u975e\u6cd5\u79fb\u6c11\uff0c\u5176\u201c\u6b0a\u76ca\u201d\u51cc\u99d5\u516c\u6c11\u4e4b\u4e0a\u3002\u4e2d\u7522\u968e\u7d1a\uff08\u5305\u62ec\u5c11\u6578\u65cf\u88d4\uff09\u7576\u7136\u4e0d\u670d\u3002\u6bc6\u7238\u5abd\u662f\u96b1\u6027\u7a46\u65af\u6797\uff0c\u7a00\u760c\u75e2\u8eab\u908a\u4e00\u5927\u6279\u6fc0\u9032\u7a46\u65af\u6797\u3002\u653f\u7b56\u56b4\u91cd\u50be\u659c\u3002\u57fa\u7763\u5f92\u7576\u7136\u61a4\u6012\u3002<br \/>\u5728\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u7684\u64cd\u63a7\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u8207\u6b50\u76df\u5927\u641e\u5168\u7403\u531620\u5e74\u7684\u7d50\u679c\u662f\u5de5\u696d\u5316\u570b\u5bb6\u7522\u696d\u7a7a\u6d1e\u5316\uff0c\u5931\u696d\u7387\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u5de5\u8cc7\u4e0b\u6ed1\u3002\u5927\u91cf\u975e\u6cd5\u79fb\u6c11\u589e\u52a0\u672c\u570b\u7684\u793e\u6703\u8ca0\u64d4\u3002\u65b0\u79fb\u6c11\u53ea\u53d6\u4e0d\u65bd\uff0c\u62d2\u7d55\u878d\u5165\u5728\u5730\u570b\u7684\u6587\u5316\u8207\u50f9\u503c\u89c0\uff0c\u81ea\u6210\u65cf\u7fa4\u793e\u5340\uff0c\u8207\u5728\u5730\u570b\u516c\u6c11\u683c\u683c\u4e0d\u5165\uff0c\u6210\u70ba\u6050\u6016\u7d44\u7e54\u7684\u5b75\u86cb\u5668\u3002\u5e74\u8f15\u7684\u65b0\u79fb\u6c11\u767c\u751f\u8a8d\u540c\u5371\u6a5f\uff0c\u5931\u53bb\u5e0c\u671b\uff0c\u5bb9\u6613\u8d70\u6975\u7aef\u3002<br \/>\u4e2d\u570b\u96d6\u662f\u5168\u7403\u5316\u7684\u6700\u5927\u53d7\u76ca\u8005\uff0c\u6210\u70ba\u4e16\u754c\u5de5\u5ee0\uff0c\u7d93\u6fdf\u4e8c\u4f4d\u6578\u5b57\u7684\u9ad8\u901f\u6210\u9577\uff1b\u4f46\u91d1\u878d\u6d77\u562f\u5f8c\u5df2\u9054\u6210\u9577\u7684\u6975\u9650\u3002\u904e\u53bb\u5341\u5e74\u9760\u653f\u5e9c\u652f\u51fa\uff0c\u5927\u641e\u57fa\u5efa\uff0c\u57ce\u93ae\u5316\u7dad\u6301\u201c\u4fdd\u4e03\u201d\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u6cbb\u6a19\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u662f\u4e0d\u53ef\u5ef6\u7e8c\u7684\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u9020\u6210\u8cc7\u6e90\u8aa4\u6295\uff0c\u7522\u80fd\u904e\u5269\u3002\u8fd1\u5e74\u7531\u65bc\u5de5\u8cc7\u8ce6\u7a05\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u5931\u53bb\u51fa\u53e3\u7af6\u722d\u529b\uff0c\u5916\u4f01\u5927\u5e45\u64a4\u8cc7\uff0c\u985e\u4f3c\u53f0\u706320\u5e74\u524d\u7684\u666f\u6c23\u3002\u53f0\u7063\u9760\u8457\u534a\u5c0e\u9ad4\u82df\u5ef6\u6b98\u5598\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u96d6\u7136\u662f\u4e16\u754c\u5de5\u5ee0\uff0c\u4f46\u9ad8\u79d1\u6280\u884c\u696d\u7684\u5e95\u5b50\u4e0d\u8db3\uff0c\u4ecd\u5728\u6284\u8972\u968e\u6bb5\u3002<br \/>\u8fb2\u6751\u7d93\u6fdf\u7834\u7522\uff0c\u57ce\u5e02\u6e38\u6c11\u5931\u696d\u7387\u589e\u9ad8\uff1b\u52d5\u6416\u570b\u672c\u3002\u96d6\u7136\u7db2\u8def\u96fb\u5546\u706b\u71b1\uff0c\u90a3\u662f\u99ac\u96f2\u7684\u4e2d\u570b\u5922\u3002\u5922\u9192\u4ee5\u5f8c\u548b\u8fa6\uff1f<br \/>\u4e0a\u6b21\u82f1\u570b\u516c\u6295\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u6c11\u8abf\u90fd\u4e00\u9762\u5012\uff0c\u5ba3\u7a31\u7559\u6b50\u5fc5\u52dd\u3002\u963f\u96e3\u591c\u89c0\u5929\u8c61\uff0c\u6599\u5b9a\u812b\u6b50\u5fc5\u52dd\uff0c\u679c\u4e0d\u5176\u7136\u3002\u6c11\u8abf\u5b78\u554f\u5927\uff0c\u7d71\u8a08\u662f\u4eba\u767c\u660e\u7684\u6578\u5b57\u904a\u6232\uff0c\u4e0d\u662f\u79d1\u5b78\u3002\u770b\u57fa\u672c\u9762\uff0c\u5ddd\uff0c\u7a00\u5404\u64c140%\u3002 \u5927\u50a2\u4f19\u7b49\u8457\u770b\u6232\u5427\u3002<br \/>\u5929\u969b\u4e00\u7247\u70cf\u96f2\uff0c\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u767c\u751f\u7cbe\u5fc3\u8a2d\u8a08\u7684\u73cd\u73e0\u6e2f\u4e8b\u8b8a\uff0c\u6bc6\u7238\u5abd\u5e79\u4e09\u4efb\u3002<br \/>\u963f\u5f4c\u9640\u4f5b\uff0c\u6211\u4f5b\u6148\u60b2\uff01<\/div>\n<div class=\"pld-like-dislike-wrap pld-template-1\">\r\n    <div class=\"pld-like-wrap  pld-common-wrap\">\r\n    <a href=\"javascript:void(0)\" class=\"pld-like-trigger pld-like-dislike-trigger  \" title=\"\" data-post-id=\"4671\" data-trigger-type=\"like\" data-restriction=\"ip\" data-already-liked=\"0\">\r\n                        <i class=\"fas fa-thumbs-up\"><\/i>\r\n                <\/a>\r\n    <span class=\"pld-like-count-wrap pld-count-wrap\">    <\/span>\r\n<\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u200b\u67d0\u653f\u6cbb\u8a55\u8ad6\u5bb6\u7a31\u5ddd\u666e\u662fCrazy Fox\uff0c\u72d0\u4ed9\u3002\u6b64\u4eba\u8070\u660e\u7d55\u9802\uff0c\u7cbe\u901a\u535a\u6232\u7406\u8ad6(Game Theory). \u611a\u592b\u611a\u5a66\u4ee5\u70ba\u4ed6\u8b41\u773e\u53d6\u5bf5\uff0c\u53e3\u51fa\u72c2\u8a00\u3002\u5a92\u9ad4\u6068\u4ed6\u5165\u9aa8\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u8001\u88ab\u4ed6\u727d\u8457\u9f3b\u5b50\u8d70\u3002\u5a92\u9ad4\u81ea\u547d\u6e05\u9ad8\uff0c\u9aa8\u5b50\u88e1\u6709\u5976\u5c31\u662f\u5a18\u3002\u5976\u6c34\u4f86\u81ea\u5ee3\u544a\uff0c\u5ee3\u544a\u8cbb\u4f9d\u6536\u8996\u7387\u8a08\u7b97\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\u7f8e\u570b\u5a92\u9ad4\u548c\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u5a4a\u5b50\u724c\u574a\u6c92\u5169\u6a23\u3002\u5ddd\u666e\u5f97\u6bdb\u6f64\u4e4b\u771f\u50b3\uff0c\u767e\u82b1\u9f4a &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[48],"tags":[146],"class_list":["post-4671","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-48","tag-146"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/us-chinaforum.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4671","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/us-chinaforum.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/us-chinaforum.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/us-chinaforum.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/us-chinaforum.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4671"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/us-chinaforum.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4671\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/us-chinaforum.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4671"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/us-chinaforum.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4671"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/us-chinaforum.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4671"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}