{"id":4913,"date":"2023-08-19T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2023-08-19T07:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/us-chinaforum.com\/archives\/4913"},"modified":"2023-08-19T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2023-08-19T07:00:00","slug":"%e4%b8%96%e7%95%8c%e6%88%b0%e4%ba%82%e4%b9%8b%e6%ba%90%ef%bc%9a%e6%96%b0%e4%bf%9d%e5%ae%88%e4%b8%bb%e7%be%a9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/us-chinaforum.com\/2023\/4913\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4e16\u754c\u6230\u4e82\u4e4b\u6e90\uff1a\u65b0\u4fdd\u5b88\u4e3b\u7fa9"},"content":{"rendered":"
                                 
                             <\/span>*** \u904b\u7528AI\u5236\u4f5c\u89c6\u9891***    <\/span>\u4e16\u754c\u6230\u4e82\u4e4b\u6e90\uff1a\u65b0\u4fdd\u5b88\u4e3b\u7fa9<\/a><\/font><\/strong>  <\/font><\/p>\n

     \u300a\u5965\u672c\u6d77\u9ed8\u300b\u5728\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u70ed\u6620\uff0c\u5f70\u663e\u4e86\u4e00\u4f4d\u72b9\u592a\u88d4\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u7684\u4f1f\u5927\u6210\u5c31\u3002\u4ed6\u867d\u7136\u4e0d\u662f\u51b3\u5b9a\u4e8c\u6218\u80dc\u8d1f\u7684\u5173\u952e\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u4e24\u9897\u539f\u5b50\u5f39\u6467\u6bc1\u4e86\u65e5\u672c\u519b\u56fd\u4e3b\u4e49\u7684\u6597\u4e89\u610f\u5fd7\uff0c\u7f29\u77ed\u4e86\u4e9a\u6d32\u6218\u533a\u7684\u7ed3\u675f\u65f6\u95f4\u3002\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u611f\u5230\u56f0\u60d1\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u8fd9\u90e8\u7535\u5f71\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u628a\u91cd\u70b9\u653e\u539f\u5b50\u5f39\u7684\u5236\u9020\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e0a\uff0c\u53cd\u800c\u662f\u65ad\u65ad\u7eed\u7eed\u5730\u542c\u8be2\uff0c\u62f7\u95ee\u5965\u672c\u6d77\u9ed8\u662f\u5426\u662f\u5171\u4ea7\u515a\u7684\u540c\u8def\u4eba\uff0c\u4ed6\u7684\u592b\u4eba\u548c\u60c5\u5987\u662f\u4e0d\u662f\u5171\u4ea7\u515a\u5458\u3002\u5bfc\u6f14Nolan\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5728\u63a7\u544a\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\uff0c\u7834\u574f\u4e00\u4f4d\u82f1\u96c4\u4eba\u7269\u7684\u5f62\u8c61\u3002\u8fd9\u53cd\u6620\u51fa\u4e8c\u6218\u524d\u540e\u79fb\u6c11\u5230\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u72b9\u592a\u4eba\u5f02\u5e38\u590d\u6742\u7684\u601d\u60f3\u80cc\u666f\uff0c\u4e5f\u6298\u5c04\u51fa\u7f8e\u56fd\u6218\u540e\u7684\u7ea2\u8272\u6050\u6016\u6c14\u6c1b\u3002<\/p>\n

     <\/span>\u5965\u672c\u6d77\u9ed8\u662f\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4ee3\u72b9\u592a\u88d4\u79fb\u6c11\uff0c\u7236\u4eb2\u6765\u7f8e\u540e\u957f\u8896\u5584\u821e\uff0c\u5bb6\u5ead\u73af\u5883\u5bcc\u88d5\uff0c\u80fd\u591f\u4e0a\u79c1\u7acb\u5b66\u6821\uff0c\u8fdb\u54c8\u4f5b\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u5230\u6b27\u6d32\u6e38\u5b66\u3002\u5373\u4fbf\u662f\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u4ed6\u4ecd\u7136\u5b58\u6709\u5de6\u6d3e\u601d\u60f3\u3002\u5728\u4ed6\u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6709\u4e00\u5927\u6279\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4ee3\u72b9\u592a\u79fb\u6c11\u5b50\u5973\uff0c\u4e5f\u90fd\u805a\u96c6\u5728\u7ebd\u7ea6\u5e02\uff0c\u5bb6\u5ead\u73af\u5883\u975e\u5e38\u6076\u52a3\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u6279\u72b9\u592a\u9752\u5e74\u4e2d\uff0c\u5934\u8111\u806a\u660e\u7684\u8fdb\u5165\u4e86\u5f53\u65f6\u514d\u8d39\u7684\u5e02\u7acb\u5927\u5b66\uff08City College\uff09\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u6709\u4eba\u5199\u81ea\u4f20\u8bf4\uff0c\u53bb\u4e0a\u5b66\u7684\u65f6\u5019\u5c31\u5e26\u51e0\u7247\u9762\u5305\uff0c\u5728\u9910\u5385\u62b9\u4e0a\u684c\u4e0a\u514d\u8d39\u7684\u756a\u8304\u9171\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u5348\u9910\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4eba\u6700\u559c\u6b22\u5728\u9910\u5385\u91cc\u5c55\u5f00\u8fa9\u8bba\uff0c\u6709\u62e5\u62a4\u53f2\u8fbe\u6797\u7684\uff0c\u6709\u652f\u6301\u6258\u6d3e\u7684\uff0c\u4e5f\u6709\u4e3b\u5f20\u81ea\u7531\u4e3b\u4e49\u7684\uff0c\u8fa9\u8bba\u7684\u975e\u5e38\u6fc0\u70c8\u3002\u4ece\u8fd9\u4e2a\u80cc\u666f\u4e2d\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u4e00\u6279\u5927\u5b66\u6559\u6388\uff0c\u4f5c\u5bb6\u548c\u653f\u8bba\u5bb6\u3002<\/p>\n

     <\/span>\u5728\u6b64\u6211\u4eec\u53ea\u63d0\u5230\u4e24\u4f4d\u4ece\u65e9\u5e74\u4fe1\u4ef0\u793e\u4f1a\u4e3b\u4e49\u8f6c\u53d8\u4e3a\u65b0\u4fdd\u5b88\u4e3b\u4e49\u7684\u91cd\u5934\u4eba\u7269\uff0c\u90a3\u5c31\u662fNorman Podhoretz \u548c Irving Kristol\u3002\u5728\u4e0a\u4e16\u7eaa\u4e03\u96f6\u5e74\u4ee3\u65f6\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u90fd\u6d3b\u8dc3\u4e8e\u7f16\u5199\u653f\u6cbb\u520a\u7269\uff0cPodhoretz \u662f\u300a\u8bc4\u8bba\u300b\uff08Commentary\uff09\u7684\u957f\u671f\u7f16\u8f91\uff0c\u800cKristol \u662f\u300a\u63a5\u89e6\u300b\uff08Encounter\uff09\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u520a\u7269\u7684\u7f16\u8f91\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u8bb8\u591a\u72b9\u592a\u79fb\u6c11\u6765\u81ea\u4e1c\u6b27\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4ee3\u603b\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\u975e\u5e38\u75db\u6068\u82cf\u8054\u3002\u8fd9\u4e24\u4eba\u90fd\u5f3a\u70c8\u53cd\u82cf\uff0c\u4e5f\u53cd\u5bf9\u5f53\u65f6\u70ed\u706b\u671d\u5929\u7684\u53cd\u8d8a\u6218\u8fd0\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n

     <\/span>\u5176\u5b9e\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e24\u4eba\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u7279\u522b\u5f3a\u5927\u4ee5\u5916\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u8ddf\u7edd\u5927\u591a\u6570\u72b9\u592a\u88d4\u79fb\u6c11\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u5171\u540c\u4e4b\u5904\uff0c\u90a3\u5c31\u662f\u5f3a\u70c8\u652f\u6301\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u3002\u8fd9\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u7406\u89e3\uff1a\u72b9\u592a\u4eba\u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u56db\u5904\u6d41\u6d6a\uff0c\u957f\u8fbe\u4e24\u5343\u5e74\uff0c\u5c61\u906d\u66b4\u884c\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u7eb3\u7cb9\u6740\u5bb3600\u4e07\u72b9\u592a\u4eba\u7684\u66b4\u884c\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u4ed6\u4eec\u5168\u5fc3\u5168\u610f\u5730\u62e5\u62a4\u65b0\u5efa\u7acb\u7684\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u2014\u2014\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u652f\u6301\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u8ddf\u534e\u5c14\u8857\u7684\u72b9\u592a\u88d4\u5927\u4f6c\u4eec\u662f\u5fc3\u7167\u4e0d\u5ba3\u7684\u3002\u53cd\u5171\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u82cf\u5171\uff0c\u548c\u633a\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\uff0c\u6784\u6210\u4e86\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u4e16\u754c\u89c2\u3002<\/p>\n

     <\/span>1991\u5e74\u82cf\u8054\u89e3\u4f53\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u6279\u65b0\u4fdd\u5b88\u4e3b\u4e49\u8005\u5192\u5934\u4e86\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u5bb6\u5ead\u73af\u5883\u90fd\u5df2\u7ecf\u5927\u4e3a\u6539\u5584\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u6570\u662f\u5e38\u6625\u85e4\u7684\u7cbe\u82f1\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u4e00\u6279\u4eba\u5728\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u53ef\u4ee5\u8bf4\u5f15\u9886\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e8c\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u98ce\u9a9a\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u4e3b\u8981\u4eba\u7269\u5305\u62ec\uff1aPaul Wolfowitz, Elliott Abrams, Richard Perle, Paul Bremer, Robert Kagan\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u662f\u5728\u96f7\u6839\u603b\u7edf\u4efb\u5185\u9010\u6e10\u8fdb\u5165\u6743\u529b\u6838\u5fc3\u7684\uff0c\u524d\u56db\u4f4d\u6210\u4e3a\u5c0f\u5e03\u4ec0\u5185\u9601\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u5b98\u5458\u6216\u987e\u95ee\uff0c\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u4f4d\u662f\u300a\u534e\u76db\u987f\u90ae\u62a5\u300b\u7684\u4e13\u680f\u653f\u8bba\u5bb6\uff0c\u5e03\u9c81\u91d1\u65af\u667a\u5e93\u7684\u8d44\u6df1\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u3002<\/p>\n

     <\/span>911 \u4e8b\u4ef6\u6fc0\u6012\u4e86\u5c0f\u5e03\u4ec0\uff0c\u53ef\u662f\u4ed6\u5bf9\u5916\u4ea4\u4e8b\u52a1\u4e00\u7a8d\u4e0d\u901a\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u5c31\u4ef0\u8d56\u4ed6\u7684\u526f\u624b\u94b1\u5c3c\u548c\u56fd\u9632\u90e8\u957f\u7f57\u65af\u8d39\u5c14\u5fb7\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u4e24\u4f4d\u672c\u6765\u5c31\u4ee5\u4fdd\u5b88\u51fa\u540d\u7684\u653f\u5ba2\u5bf9\u526f\u56fd\u9632\u90e8\u957fWolfowitz \u548c\u4e00\u6279\u65b0\u4fdd\u5b88\u4e3b\u4e49\u8005\u7684\u5efa\u8bae\u7167\u5355\u5168\u6536\u3002\u65b0\u4fdd\u5b88\u4e3b\u4e49\u8005\u7684\u4e3b\u5f20\u53ef\u4ee5\u7b80\u5355\u6982\u62ec\u4e3a\u4e0b\u5217\u51e0\u70b9\uff1a\u4e00\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u662f\u4e16\u754c\u552f\u4e00\u7684\u8d85\u5f3a\uff0c\u5b83\u5e94\u5f53\u5c06\u5b83\u7684\u5236\u5ea6\u5411\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u63a8\u5e7f\uff1b\u4e8c\uff0c\u63a8\u5e7f\u7684\u624b\u6bb5\u53ef\u4ee5\u662f\u548c\u5e73\u5730\u53d1\u52a8\u7fa4\u4f17\u8fd0\u52a8\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u989c\u8272\u9769\u547d\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f7f\u7528\u6b66\u529b\uff0c\u63a8\u7ffb\u539f\u6709\u7684\u4e13\u5236\u653f\u6743\uff1b\u4e09\uff0c\u5fc5\u987b\u538b\u5236\u548c\u51fb\u8d25\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u7684\u4e13\u5236\u4f53\u5236\u3002\u8fd9\u51e0\u70b9\u91cd\u590d\u51fa\u73b0\u5728Kagan\u7684\u8bc4\u8bba\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\u3002<\/p>\n

     <\/span>\u5728\u538b\u5236\u4e13\u5236\u4f53\u5236\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e3b\u5f20\u6269\u5927\u5317\u7ea6\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u8ba9\u5317\u7ea6\u5411\u4e1c\u6269\u5f20\uff0c\u538b\u7f29\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\uff0c\u628a\u539f\u6765\u5c5e\u4e8e\u534e\u6c99\u9635\u8425\u7684\u4e2d\u4e1c\u6b27\u5c0f\u56fd\u62c9\u5230\u7f8e\u56fd\u8fd9\u4e00\u8fb9\u3002\u5728\u63a8\u5e7f\u6c11\u4e3b\u5316\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u771f\u6b63\u76ee\u7684\u662f\u5206\u88c2\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u4e16\u754c\uff0c\u8ba9\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u80fd\u591f\u957f\u6cbb\u4e45\u5b89\u3002\u7b80\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u8981\u4ee5\u6c11\u4e3b\u5316\u7684\u5d07\u9ad8\u76ee\u6807\u6765\u4fc3\u8fdb\u4ed6\u4eec\u4ec7\u4fc4\u548c\u633a\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u7684\u4e24\u4e2a\u6838\u5fc3\u5173\u5207\u3002<\/p>\n

     <\/span>Kagan\u662f\u65b0\u4fdd\u5b88\u4e3b\u4e49\u7684\u7406\u8bba\u5bb6\uff0c\u7ecf\u5e38\u6279\u8bc4\u7f8e\u56fd\u515a\u653f\u8005\u7684\u8f6f\u5f31\u3002\u4ed6\u7684\u592b\u4eba\u662fVictoria Nuland\uff0c\u662f\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u4e0e\u62dc\u767b\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u56e2\u961f\u91cc\u7684\u91cd\u5934\u4eba\u7269\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u5df2\u5347\u4efb\u56fd\u52a1\u9662\u7684\u7b2c\u4e8c\u628a\u624b\uff0c\u804c\u79f0\u662f\u4e3b\u7ba1\u653f\u6cbb\u4e8b\u52a1\u7684\u526f\u56fd\u52a1\u537f\u3002Nuland \u57282014\u5e74\u65f6\u66fe\u7ecf\u4eb2\u81ea\u5728\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u9996\u90fd\u57fa\u8f85\u7684\u72ec\u7acb\u5e7f\u573a\u4e0a\u5411\u793a\u5a01\u8005\u5206\u53d1\u4e09\u6587\u6cbb\u7b49\u98df\u7269\uff0c\u5e76\u516c\u5f00\u5ba3\u79f0\uff0c\u4e3a\u4e86\u4fc3\u8fdb\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u5316\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5df2\u7ecf\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e8650\u4ebf\u63f4\u52a9\u3002\u5f53\u65f6\u8eab\u4e3a\u526f\u603b\u7edf\u7684\u62dc\u767b\u66fe\u7ecf\u9080\u8bf7\u4ed6\u5728\u53c2\u8bae\u9662\u4e2d\u7684\u631a\u53cb\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f2008\u5e74\u53c2\u52a0\u603b\u7edf\u9009\u4e3e\u7684\u5171\u548c\u515a\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u7ea6\u7ff0\u00b7\u9ea6\u80af\u6069\uff0c\u5230\u72ec\u7acb\u5e7f\u573a\u53bb\u9f13\u52b1\u793a\u5a01\u7fa4\u4f17\u3002\u636e\u67d0\u4e9b\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u6d88\u606f\uff0c\u613f\u610f\u62ff\u68cd\u68d2\u53c2\u4e0e\u6b66\u6597\u7684\u793a\u5a01\u8005\u6bcf\u5929\u90fd\u53ef\u4ee5\u53d6\u5f97\u7f8e\u5143\u62a5\u916c\u3002\u603b\u4e4b\uff0c\u57282004\u5e74\u53d1\u52a8\u7684\u989c\u8272\u9769\u547d\u5931\u8d25\u540e\uff0c2014\u5e74\u7684\u989c\u8272\u9769\u547d\u6210\u529f\u4e86\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u4eb2\u4fc4\u653f\u5e9c\u88ab\u63a8\u7ffb\uff0c\u4eb2\u7f8e\u653f\u5e9c\u53d6\u800c\u4ee3\u4e4b\u3002\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f\u5bfc\u81f42022\u5e74\u4fc4\u4e4c\u6218\u4e89\u7684\u524d\u56e0\u3002
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 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\r\n
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